CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-07-12T01:14:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-07-12T01:14ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/47534/-1
CME Note: CME seen to the Southwest in SOHO LASCO C2 in association with a long-duration C5.9-class flare from AR 14485 (S10W68) with corresponding circular EUV wave seen best in GOES SUVI 284 imagery starting around 2026-07-12T01:00Z. This eruption is located to the South of a prominent coronal hole, resulting in this CME likely being deflected. This CME overlaps with CME: 2026-0712T02:12Z. This subsequent CME (CME: 2026-07-12T02:12Z) appears to accelerate the Northern portion of this ongoing event (CME: 2026-07-12T02:14Z), greatly changing its morphology in later frames.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-07-15T14:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 30.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 56.27 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-07-13T05:44Z
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